Home | About Me | Links to My Articles | Info on My Book | Contact Me
Welcome to MahdiWatch.org!
NEWSFLASH! COMMENTS LINK
BELOW EACH POST IS ENABLED! FEEL FREE TO BURY ME, PRAISE ME--OR JUST ISSUE A PERSONAL FATWA!
al-Mahdi is "the rightly-guided one" who, according to Islamic Hadiths (traditions),
will come before the end of time to make the entire world Muslim. Over the last 1400 years numerous claimants to the
mantle of the Mahdi have arisen in both Shi`i and Sunni circles. Modern belief in the coming of the Mahdi has
manifested most famously in the 1979 al-`Utaybi uprising of Sa`udi Arabia, and more recently in the ongoing
Mahdist movements (some violent) in Iraq, as well as in the frequently-expressed public prayers of former Iranian
President Ahmadinezhad bidding the Mahdi to return and, in the larger Sunni Islamic world, by claims that Usamah bin Ladin
might be the (occulted) Mahdi. Now in 2014 Mahdism is active in Syria, as the jihadist opposition group Jabhat al-Nusra
claims to be fighting to prepare the way for his coming; and in the new "Islamic State/caliphate" spanning
Syrian and Iraqi territory, as its leadership promotes the upcoming apocalyptic battle with the West at Dabiq, Syria. This site will track such Mahdi-related movements, aspirations, propaganda and beliefs in both Sunni and Shi`i
milieus, as well as other Muslim eschatological yearnings.
For a primer
on Mahdism, see my 2005 article, "What's Worse than Violent Jihadists?," at the History News Network: http://hnn.us/articles/13146.html; for more in-depth info, see the links here to my other writings, including my book on Mahdism.
Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Last week the senior leadership of the US Defense Department publicly acknowledged that Islamic apocalyptic thought is playing a prominent role in modern Middle Eastern conflicts. The Chairman
of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Martin Dempsey, in a press conference with his boss, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, said
1:28 pm edt
• "This is an organization that has an apocalyptic,
end-of-days strategic vision which will eventually have to be defeated."
And we thought Scuds were bad when Saddam had them! How extraordinary!
The top-ranking American military commander adduced Islamic eschatology as an important issue. Perhaps my eight
years of warning about Mahdism on this site has finally been heeded by certain folks.
and General Dempsey also said several other things worthy of note and examination:
• POTUS has asked for $500
million "to assist the moderate [Syrian] opposition
• "Strategically, there are limits to how much you
can accomplish with airstrikes. Tactically, you can accomplish a significant amount."
• IS[IS] "will have
to be addressed on both sides of what is essentially...a nonexistent border"
• "ISIS will only truly
be defeated when it's rejected by the 20 million disenfranchised Sunni that...reside between Damascus and Baghdad"
• "[I]n the aftermath of the Arab Spring [sic]...we actually have groups that now kind of are loosely connected,
in some cases affiliated, that run from Afghanistan across the Arabian peninsula into Yemen to the Horn of Africa and into
North and West Africa. So in general the conflict against these groups...that's going to be a very long contest.
It's ideological. It's not political. It's religious, in many cases."
• IS[IS] is "beyond just a
terrorist group. They marry ideology, a sophistication of strategic and tactical military prowess." And "they are
• "ISIL's vision...includes...Lebanon, the current state of Israel, Jordan,
Iraq, Syria and Kuwait."
1) Overall, it's quite positive
that the DoD (belatedly) recognizes that Islamic apocalyptic/eschatological beliefs should be factored into the
2) Those of us who tend to think that Bashar al-Asad, for all his cruelty, is the least bad
option in Syria are never going to be persuaded otherwise as long as DoD leaders (or State or US Senators) are unable to identify,
specifically, members of the chimerical "moderate opposition" in Syria.
3) References to the
US needing a strategic vision that encompasses both Iraq and Syria and their "20 million disenfranchised Sunni[s]"
are necessary but not sufficient--because the inconvenient truth is that IS[IS]'s harsh but literalist brand of Islam
is proving popular not just among Arab "psychopaths" themselves but in France, Britain and even East Asia. As I've said in previous blogs and radio interviews, until official fatwas de-legitimizing
IS[IS] are put out by reputable Sunni authorities (such as al-Azhar and Yusuf al-Qaradawi), the organization
will maintain at least a patina of Islamic doctrinal credibility.
4) Is the Pentagon really only now
realizing that Islamic groups across the Eurasian and African landmasses are linked by a common religious ideology? That's
5) Secretary Hagel: IS[IS] is not just an ultra-terrorist group with an ideology and strategic
and tactical experience. It happens to be, whether we like or admit it, a territorial state.
6) General Dempsey, sir: you need to get re-briefed on what al-Sham constituted in Middle Eastern history,
and what it thus means for the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham. Yes, historic al-Sham encompassed what are now Lebanon,
Israel, most of Jordan and Syria. But it never included Iraq or Kuwait. Such inaccuracies make you look
bad (or they would if the press knew much about the topic).
Ottoman al-Sham encompassed the central district here (that comes to a point on the right).
al-Sham in pre-Ottoman Arab history stretched from Turkey to southern Israel, but did not extend as far east as Iraq--and
certainly not to the Persian Gulf. Still, that constitutes a large area coveted by IS[IS]. One last relevant observation, from another angle: my good friend Reverend Jack Smith, author
of the well-researched and thought-provoking book Islam: The Cloak of Antichrist (for which I wrote the "Foreword"), recently asked, in response to this
Hagel-Dempsey presser, whether "the Pentagon need[s] a Bible to develop war strategy against ISIS?"
Although I am a (conservative, but not Evangelical) Christian, my immediate and resounding
response is: NO!
Why? Because the last thing the US military or intelligence
community needs is to have the genuine war against apocalypse-fired Islamic militants conflated with a narrowly Evangelical
Christian view of matters. The US government is a secular, not a religious, one--and although I have repeatedly criticized
the refusal of the leader of the world's largest Christian-populated nation to do anything about global persecution of Christians,
I do NOT want our forces engaged in an Evangelical Protestant "Crusade." Furthermore, and just as (if not
more) importantly, opposing and defeating the Islamic "apocalyptic strategic vision"--which is shared by groups
besides IS[IS]--can only be done by analyzing said vision on its own Muslim terms, using Muslim (Arabic, Turkish and Persian)
sources. Frankly, in this fight, I don't give a damn in this context what Revelation or Ezekiel or Daniel
say--it matters more what's in the Qur'an, the Hadiths, and Islamic commentators thereupon. I say this to my Evangelical
brethren: it's not always about you and your interpretation of Christian Scripture. The rest of us (Catholic, Orthodox,
Lutherans, etc.) in the fold might have something worthwhile to say on the topic, too--but this fight against IS[IS] is neither
the time nor the place.
Addendum, as of 8.28.14: Reverend Smith contacted me and said that
his comment about having the Pentagon take guidance from the Bible on this issue was tongue-in-cheek. Understood.
I should also have made more clear that other Evangelicals besides him have advanced such ideas; thus my singling out of him
for critique was rather unfair. As a Christian I believe in the Second Coming--my church recites either the Apostles'
or Nicene Creed every Sunday, both of which attest to Jesus Christ "who will come again to judge both the living and
the dead." But the timetable is His, not mine. And as I said above, Christian eschatology (of any stripe) need not be
adduced to combat apocalyptic Muslim movements; in fact, it simply muddies the waters.
Friday, August 22, 2014
Losing Your Brains, Not Just Your Head, Over Islam
1:07 pm edt
When I wrote "Beheading in the Name of Islam
" for "Middle East Quarterly" in 2005, I did not anticipate it becoming the defining article on the topic--although
I fully expected my piece to remain relevant for the forseeable future, as has proved out. Last year, after the beheading of Lee Rigby by two Muslims
in the UK, I was interviewed on topic by "BBC-Ireland." This week, in the wake of the decapitation of James Foley
by the self-styled Islamic State, I've been on two different BBC programs, as well as American liberal commentator Alan
Colmes' show, and interviewed by the French newspaper "Libération."
are the relevant radio links:
1) "The Jonathon Vernon-Smith Show," 8.22.14 on BBC "Three Counties
I come on right after the 4" mark, then after a break and some other comments by the host he interviews me for
5-6 minutes. Besides beheading in Islam, we delve into the degree to which IS[IS] is simply following Islamic doctrines
and Muhammad's historical example to the letter, or whether IS is misrepresenting Islam. What's particularly illuminating
are the subsequent remarks by Muslim callers. One female Muslim seems never to have read the Qur'an, or to know that
Muhammad himself ordered beheadings; another chap named "Lutf" is an Ahmadi Muslim, a member of a heterodox (many
Muslims says heretical) sect who, thus, has little standing to be speaking in the name of "Islam" in toto.
2) "BBC Radio 5 Live" with Eleanor Oldroyd, 8.21.14: http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b04dmcrh
Once again, although in less detail than with JVS, we discuss the extent to which IS is indeed Muslim. I come
on at the 8:35 mark.
3) "The Alan Colmes Show," 8.21.14: http://radio.foxnews.com/2014/08/20/how-will-the-us-respond-to-the-death-of-james-foley/
Mr. Colmes, a well-known liberal commentator here in the US, makes it his mission to try to refute my points about IS
being legitimately Islamic, and do so in rather obstreperous (and fact-deprived) fashion.
Listen and decide
for yourselves who makes a better case based on the facts. Ali beheading Nadir b. al-Harith, a poet who had mocked "the prophet," at Muhammad's
directive. How can IS be "un-Islamic" when it's following the example of its founder?
Thursday, August 21, 2014
IS[IS]: Still Beheading Like It's The End Of The World
The “Islamic State” [IS], formerly the “Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham”
[ISIS or ISIL—the latter if one prefers “Levant”], ended Ramadan 1435/2014 with another issue of its propagandistic
“Dabiq” magazine. (Issue #1 thereof, which had come out at the beginning of the Islamic holy month, I dissected here.)
12:59 pm edt
This second issue is book-ended with apocalyptic references: p. 2 repeats
the Abu Mus`ab al-Zarqawi (who went to meet the huris, 2006) quote—adduced several times in issue #1—about the
spark that had been lit in Iraq eventually burning the “crusader armies in Dabiq;” while the final page excerpts
a hadith foretelling the Muslim conquest of Arabia, Persia, Rome and the defeat of the Dajjal (the “Deceiver,”
the Islamic antichrist figure). IS’s flagship publication also brags that the group is coming for
Palestine and, as per another hadith, that it will “fight the barbaric jews and kill those of them hiding behind the
gharqad trees…” But
the second installment of “Dabiq,” unlike the first, does not obsess about the End Times breaking into today’s
Middle East; rather, it focuses like a Bond supervillain laser beam on two related topics: the Biblical/Qur’anic flood,
and the Islamic practice of mubahalah.
The Flood, which is the title of the entire issue, is adduced because the Islamic State posits the state
of the world to be just as it was in the time of prophet Nuh—with even the Muslims so ignorant of true religion (Islam,
of course) that they are in need of saving. And the Ark today is none other than the Islamic State, where true shari`ah
is enforced and where no one is “free to choose”—because the witless masses are incapable of choosing
religious truth, and so must have it imposed upon them. Moderate Muslims who believe in choice and “peaceful
means of change” are fools spouting “twisted methodology.” Just as in prophet Nuh’s
time, “it’s either me or the flood.”
I don't know...I might take my chances and swim.
“Dabiq”#2 goes on at length about “the widespread ignorance amongst the people”—meaning
Muslims, who “are like a hundred camels amongst which you can’t find any that are fit for riding.”
Only by fleeing to the Ark of the Islamic State can Muslims be saved from “baathism, secularism, liberalism,
democracy or anything else that would contradict the essence of tawhid [Islamic teaching of strict “oneness” of
also devotes almost ¼ of this entire publication to explicating mubahlah and invoking it over against their
opponents—mainly Jabhat al-Nusrah. Mubahalah comes from the verb bahala, which can mean either “to curse” or “to
supplicate/implore Allah.” It is, in essence, a religious ordeal in which two disputing religious
parties summon Allah as witness to curse the incorrect/dishonest one. It is referenced in Sura `Ali ‘Imran [III]:39ff, and explicated by later Muslim commentators as referring to a dispute between Muhammad and
some Christians from Najran over the position of Jesus. IS, perhaps feeling the sting of criticism from
its erstwhile allies, challenges JN (as well as Syria’s Islamic Front) to trial-by-mubahalah—confident that it is entirely within Allah’s will.
The only other major theme
which IS pushes in this issue of “Dabiq” is the demand for (Sunni) Muslims to migrate to the domains of the new
caliphate, or if that is not possible at least to “organize bay`at (pledges of allegiance) to the Khalifah Ibrahim”
among family, friends and neighbors and post them on the Internet. Much of the rest of this magazine—some
18 pp. out of the total of 44—consists of photographs of the usual jihadist favorite subjects: dead Kurds and Shi`is,
dynamited Shi`i shrines and mosques, triumphant bearded and heavily armed caliphal warriors “liberating” areas
of Syria and Iraq. It ends with the aforementioned hadith predicting that the Muslims would go from conquest to conquest,
ultimately prevailing over even the Dajjal.
Urban renewal, courtesy of IS: the dynamited tomb/shrine of Ahmad al-Rifa`i, founder of the
Rifa`i Sufi order.
1) This issue of “Dabiq” appears
more defensive, indeed apologetic, than the first one. The invoking of mubahalah clearly indicates
that criticism from other Muslims (not from Obama or David Cameron) has had some effect. Perhaps
the rector of al-Azhar or the Grand Mufti of Saudi Arabia should take IS up on the mubahalah challenge, since the
group clearly takes the issue very seriously and would have its legitimacy degraded by Allah failing to curse the Egyptians
or Saudis (although IS spokesjihadists might try to claim that any negative events in those countries amounted to evidence
of divine retribution for failing the test).
Once again, creating such a glossy and lengthy publication in English demonstrates that the newly-minted caliphate is trying
to manipulate Western, or at least Western Muslim, public opinion. Considering how many British (and perhaps
also, now, American) volunteers it has attracted, continuing such a strategy makes sense.
3) Although, as already noted, this second
installment of “Dabiq” is less eschatological than the first one, it does nonetheless continue to invoke Islamic
apocalyptic themes—showing either that the IS leadership is enamored of the End Times, it knows the resonance of such
a theme for many (Western/Westernized) Muslims—or both.
4) I would maintain that IS atrocities
like the beheading of James Foley and the mass murders of Shi`is and Yazidis are, in effect, "bizarre rituals intended to bring about the end of the world"--or at least to spark the Mahdi's coming. I truly think that IS has passed into the realm of trying to hotwire
the apocalypse. God willing no one is stupid enough to try and find "moderate ISIS" with whom to negotiate.
IS human sacrifice of American journalist James Foley. It won't induce the coming of the
Mahdi--but hopefully it will cause the avenging coming of American military forces.
Sunday, July 20, 2014
Is Insisting Every Adulterer Must Get Stoned REALLY "Extremist" in Islam?
5:03 pm edt
A few days ago the Iraqi-Syrian caliphate meted out the punishment of stoning for a woman accused of adultery. Predictably, many media outlets decried the "extremists" who carried out such a heinous sentence.
But is stoning in such cases really "extremist" according to Islamic doctrines and public opinion?
No. There are at least five authoritative hadiths--sayings going back to Islam's founder, Muhammad--which mandate such a method of execution for adulterers.
And according to Pew data from 2012, in many Muslim countries of the Mideast, Africa and South Asia large majorities want shari`ah to
be implemented, and most of them in turn favor stoning for adulterers/adulteresses:
The "prophet" of Islam sanctioned stoning for adultery; the practice was legal praxis
in many Islamic societies across the 14 centuries from his time to today; and clear majorities of Muslims in many countries
approve of it. How, then, is it "extremist?" Brutal, harsh, vindictive, bloody, barbaric, outmoded--but
according to Islamic history and modern sentiments, stoning is not "extremist" at all.
Public stoning in Qajar Iran (19th century).
Apologists can sputter all they want, but the fact is that many of the world's Muslims would not feel that what ISIS
just did is beyond the pale; on the contrary, like the Taliban or Boko Haram, ISIS at least has the courage of its Qur'anic
and Muhammadan convictions--appalling as that may be.
For those (liberals and Muslims) who stupidly maintain that there
is no difference between Islam and Christianity, between Muslims and Christians--I leave you with this clip from "Jesus of Nazareth."
Gospel of St. John, 8:1-11. Quite a contrast from Muhammad's example.
Monday, July 14, 2014
New Islamic State Magazine "Dabiq": Western Forces On the Eve of Destruction
Since the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham [Greater Syria] declared the resurrection of the caliphate a few weeks ago, analysts and journalists have focused on the ramifications of that putative political office for the Islamic world. However, at the start of Ramadan the new “Islamic
State” and its caliph attempted to move the propaganda needle from the merely realpolitickally ridiculous to
the apocalyptically awe-inspiring—by invoking Muslim eschatological traditions.
12:31 am edt
The venue for this is an online English magazine entitled Dabiq: The Return of Khilafah, the 50 pages of which skillfully blend Qur’anic citations (10 in
total), hadiths (12 of these), Salafi-jihadist exegesis and imagery to legitimize the new caliphate, motivate the faithful,
and reach out to (primarily) Western Muslims. The main proof text of this entire document
is a lengthy hadith (saying attributed to Islam’s founder, Muhammad) about a major Last Hour battle. Since
IS’s magazine quotes the entire hadith twice, and refers to it several other times, the tradition is worth quoting in
Abu Huraira reported Allah's Messenger (may peace be upon him) as saying:
The Last Hour would not come until the Romans would land at al-A'maq or in Dabiq. An army consisting of the best (soldiers)
of the people of the earth at that time will come from Medina (to counteract them). When they will arrange themselves in ranks,
the Romans would say: Do not stand between us and those (Muslims) who took prisoners from amongst us. Let us fight with them;
and the Muslims would say: Nay, by Allah, we would never get aside from you and from our brethren that you may fight them.
They will then fight and a third (part) of the army would run away, whom Allah will never forgive. A third (part of the army).
which would be constituted of excellent martyrs in Allah's eye, would be killed and the third who would never be put to trial
would win and they would be conquerors of Constantinople. And as they would be busy in distributing the spoils of war (amongst
themselves) after hanging their swords by the olive trees, the Satan would cry: The Dajjal has taken your place among your
family. They would then come out, but it would be of no avail. And when they would come to Syria, he would come out while
they would be still preparing themselves for battle drawing up the ranks. Certainly, the time of prayer shall come and then
Jesus (peace be upon him) son of Mary would descend and would lead them in prayer. When the enemy of Allah would see him,
it would (disappear) just as the salt dissolves itself in water and if he (Jesus) were not to confront them at all, even then
it would dissolve completely, but Allah would kill them by his hand and he would show them their blood on his lance (the lance
of Jesus Christ) [Sahih Muslim,
“Kitab al-Fitan wa Ashrat al-Sa`ah,” #6924].
The writers credit the late Abu Mus`ab al-Zarqawi, decapitator extraordinaire of the IS[IS] predecessor organization the Islamic State in
Iraq, with first linking the jihad there to the End Time battle at Dabiq. Also, Dabiq has several
pages extolling al-Zarqawi’s virtues and strategic vision for rec-creating the caliphate via these stages: 1) hijrah
2) jama`ah 3) destabilizing the taghut 4) tamkin 5) khilafah. The
original hijrah was the “flight” of Muhammad and the small Muslim community from Mecca to Yathrib/Medina
in 622 AD. Ever since, this exploit has served as an example for groups of Muslims who deem their society
and/or rulers insufficiently pious and who thus repeat the paradigm of flee, consolidate power and return to conquer.
Jama`ah is “community,” the expected group solidarity that hardens during hijrah. Such
a community then must act to undermine the tyrannical regime(s), the taghut (literally “despots” or “gorillas”).
As the oppressive rulers are rendered illegitimate via jihad and tuwwahhush (literally
“savagery” or “brutality”), controlling less and less territory, the true Muslims will be able to
consolidate power (tamkin), ultimately leading to the caliphate—as IS[IS] has now proclaimed. This
rising new Muslim power “will trample the idol of nationalism, destroy the idol of democracy” and trigger the
“demolition of Sykes-Picot” (the World War I British-French agreement which laid out plans for those two nations to rule
over the Arab sections of the post-war Ottoman Empire). This
five-step program for attaining power can be repeated elsewhere—notably Yemen, Mali, Somalia, Sinai Peninsula, Waziristan,
Libya, Chechnya, and Nigeria, as well as in certain areas of of Tunisia, Algeria, Indonesia, and the Philippines.
is just north of Aleppo, near the Turkish border,
and al-`Amaq/al-`Amq is in the same vicinity.
(Both are near Hatay, of Indiana Jones
fame.) A type of the
eschatological battle described in
this collection of Muslim b. al-Hajjaj (d. 875 AD) was fought at or near that location in 1516 between the Ottoman Turks and
the Egyptian Mamluks. The heirs of the Eastern Romans won that battle decisively, thanks to their effective
use of artillery—thus leading to the four centuries of Ottoman dominance over the Arab Middle East.
To sum up this hadith: the Romans land an expeditionary force in northwest Syria; after heavy losses the Muslims defeat
them and conquer “Constantinople;” the Dajjal—the “Deceiver,” or Muslim Antichrist—appears
and then the returned Jesus dispatches him via melting or lance.
The last thing the Dajjal will ever see....
Dabiq also takes a number of pages
to lay out an Islamic theological basis for the political power being claimed by “Caliph” Ibrahim.
The central argument is that “the concept of Imamah [political power] is from the millah [religious confession]
of Ibrahim.” Ibrahim, the Qur’anic version of the Biblical Abraham, was a “leader for
mankind” because he followed Allah. If al-Baghdadi’s true name is Ibrahim Awwad Ibrahim Ali
al-Badri, this is likely a case of IS[IS] attempting to theologically leverage the “Caliph’s” birth and
regnal name. Those who oppose him are “weak-hearted” who “makes fools of themselves”
and thus “renegades” whose necks it it legitimate to strike—to behead, that is. The Islamic State has “gained control over territory larger than many states…lands formerly under the
control of the historical Umawi khulafa’ [caliphs] of Sham and the `Abbasi khulafa’ of Iraq.”
(The Umayyad ruled the nascent Islamic empire from Damascus, 661-750 AD; they were supplaned by the Abbasids, who ruled from
Baghdad, 750-1258 AD.) Furthermore, “this new condition opens the path for the complete unification of all Muslim peoples
and lands under the single authority of the Khalifah. May Allah protect this Khilafah state and continue guiding it until
its legions fight the crusader armies who will gather near Dabiq.”
There are several other topical sections of Dabiq: one about the
“liberated” areas, with pictures of allegedly welcoming throngs; another deploying gruesome pictures of dead and
maimed or severely injured children, alleged targets of the Iraqi and Syrian government forces; yet another boasting of the
thousands of repentant Rafidis (“refusers”), murtaddin (“apostates) or Safawis (the
Safavid Empire was the one that ruled Iran from 1501-1722 and fought, tooth-and-nail, against the Sunni Ottomans) being captured
and brought to the true Islamic faith. (There are also plenty of photos of dead Shi`is, as well as some
about to be executed by IS[IS].)
magazine even hijacks Tolkien: the massed Rohirrirm cavalry about to ride down upon the legions of Orcs beseiging Minas Tirith
(from The Return of the King) are shown on the bottom of a page exalting the coming unification of all Muslims under
the caliphate. One can only surmise that such an image is aimed at portraying the IS[IS] as outnumbered
battalions fighting heroically against seemingly insurmoutable odds—and, of course, winning, much as do the Muslims
at the battle of Dabiq, vanquishing the Romans/crusaders with only the remaining 1/3 of their forces. But, again, on
the last page, Dabiq comes back around to eschatology—reprinting in toto the aforementioned hadith
from Muslim b. al-Hajjaj.
"A sword day! A red day! And the Sun rises--in the West!?"
1) The first English-language publication by the first caliphal state to be proclaimed since the demise of the Ottoman
one 90 years ago is focused on apocalyptic themes—specifically an End Times’ Armageddonesque battle and the entry
into history two of the three major Muslim eschatological figures: the Dajjal and Jesus. “Caliph
Ibrahim” and his staff would not have sanctioned such an endeavor without good reason. The
Muslims must have one man to lead them all against the evil Westerners in the great battle soon to come in Syria. Resistance
to him is futile—and treasonous. Join the inevitable winning side.
2) The IS leadership no doubt knows anecdotally what Pew data told us empirically in 2012: that eschatological beliefs in the Islamic world are not “fringe” or “extreme”
but, in point of fact, are quite mainstream, even in Sunni Islam: 42% of Muslims expect the Mahdi—Islam’s primary End
Time actor—to come in their lifetimes, while 35% look for Jesus’ imminent return. In
Iraq, the figures are 72% and 64%, respectively. Syria was not included in the polling,
but considering the raging bloody civil war there, it’s quite likely that similar apocalyptic expectations exist—and
the new caliphate aims to exploit such in Iraq, Syria and beyond. And while Dabiq appears aimed
at a Western (Muslim?) audience, and at Muslims living in diaspora here, it’s also quite accessible to anyone in the
Middle East proper with a computer, Internet access and rudimentary English skills.
3) Dabiq adduces, and advertises, a hadith which speaks of
the Antichrist and Jesus—but not the Mahdi. Traditional exegesis of this (and
similar) hadith(s) holds that the leader of Muslims at the Battle of Dabiq/al-`Amaq will be the Mahdi
himself. Does this mean that the IS leadership (and rank-and-file) considers
Ibrahim to be not just caliph but Mahdi—but is simply loathe to say so in its first publication? Or
is the head of the “new caliphate” a ruler who prepares the way, and the realm, for the actual eschatological
4) Either way, the clearly-stated doctrine of tawwahhush gives this new, self-styled caliph a license not
just to kill but to brutalize and sow panic as a means of undermining any target regime. This is working
in Syria and Iraq. Is Jordan or Saudi Arabia next? As my friend Dr. Ted Karasik wrote earlier today, tawwahhush might very well mean biological, chemical or nuclear/radiological
warfare. A caliph might decide to deploy such weapons, either on his own recognizance or as a means of
hotwiring the apocalypse/arrival of the Mahdi. And if Ibrahim/al-Baghdadi thinks himself the Mahdi, then
any and all weapons are acceptable to wage war fi sabil Allah: “in the path of Allah.”
5) As I noted in last week’s blogpost (Saturday, July 5, 2014), a number of Sunni
factions are speaking out against the caliphal claims of the IS: Lebanese shaykhs; professors at al-Azhar
in Cairo; Yusuf al-Qaradawi; even pro-caliphate Hizb al-Tahrir. To this list we can now add current Turkish
politician and former head of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, Ekmeleddin Ihsanoğlu, as well as a coterie of British imams. These condemnations are good, but more, and more official ones, are needed.
Where are the fatwas from the world’s most influential Muslim, Dr. Ahmad Muhammad al-Tayyib, rector of al-Azhar;
or Dr. Ali Guma, former Grand Mufti of Egypt? Kinetic—military—operations against the IS are
of course necessary, and are currently being carried out by the likes of Ansar al-Islam and, most doggedly, Jaysh Rijal al-Tariqah al-Naqshbandiyah (“Army of the Men of the Naqshandi [Sufi] Order”). Although composed
primarily of former Saddam Hussein government and military members, many of his Ba`ath (Arab Socialist) party, it seems that
many in JRTN are also practicing Sufis—Islamic mystics. The Naqshbandi order is one of the oldest
and perhaps the largest of the dozens (at least) of extant Sufi networks, and it has historically been the one most prone
to waging violent jihad; for example, Naqshbandis fought many insurrections against the Ottoman Empire. If
the newly-minted caliph indeed has Mahdist aspirations, there is perhaps no group better suited to beat it out of him and
his followers. Still, it’s possible for opponents of the IS to win
the shooting war but lose the ideological one.
The Caliphate has returned, whether we like it or not. The IS, as evidenced by Dabiq,
clearly thinks the eschatological clock is ticking. Let’s hope it won’t be necessary to raise
the Mahdist alarm.
Dabiq might go something like this. (Credit to AlanGutierrezArt. I hope the print of this I ordered arrives soon!)
|Jamkaran Mosque near Qom, Iran (during my trip there Aug. 2008)